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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emmett Weeks 11.9% 14.0% 16.5% 15.9% 14.9% 12.5% 7.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Colin Henderson 4.1% 4.8% 6.1% 9.0% 11.9% 13.0% 14.1% 15.4% 10.2% 8.0% 2.5% 0.9%
Pierre DuPont 10.9% 11.0% 12.5% 14.1% 15.5% 13.0% 10.1% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 20.8% 21.1% 20.3% 15.2% 9.6% 7.1% 3.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Tyler Durant 3.9% 4.4% 6.1% 7.9% 9.4% 13.3% 12.1% 16.3% 12.1% 8.7% 4.4% 1.4%
Conor Mook 1.0% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 2.3% 3.3% 5.0% 4.9% 9.4% 15.0% 22.9% 33.4%
Casey Gowrie 35.4% 25.2% 17.5% 9.7% 7.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Karakouzian 3.1% 5.3% 5.5% 8.2% 7.6% 9.8% 14.7% 14.1% 14.2% 10.1% 4.7% 2.7%
Alison Deyett 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 5.6% 8.2% 13.0% 19.0% 24.7% 19.1%
Kristina Schneider 1.0% 2.8% 3.2% 3.1% 4.4% 6.4% 8.8% 10.6% 16.7% 18.5% 16.4% 8.1%
Ames Lyman 6.4% 8.3% 8.7% 12.6% 12.9% 13.0% 15.4% 10.9% 6.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.5%
Aaron Taylor 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 5.9% 10.9% 15.1% 23.0% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.