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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.07+3.14vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.03+4.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81+1.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-1.80vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.92-0.34vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.76+2.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.04-6.54vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.76-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.44vs Predicted
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12Bentley University0.02-3.52vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.48-8.50vs Predicted
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15Williams College-0.81-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.38Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.63Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.2Brown University2.560.2%1st Place
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6.66Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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10.02Williams College-0.760.0%1st Place
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2.46Tufts University3.040.4%1st Place
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6.88University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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9.56University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.48Bentley University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University1.480.1%1st Place
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10.09Williams College-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Henderson | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Pierre DuPont | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 20.8% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Conor Mook | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 33.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 35.4% | 25.2% | 17.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Karakouzian | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Alison Deyett | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 24.7% | 19.1% |
| Kristina Schneider | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 8.1% |
| Ames Lyman | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Aaron Taylor | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 23.0% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.