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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+3.32vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.77+3.72vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+1.92vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.66+1.77vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.59+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.19+1.84vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.72+2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.76+5.14vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+1.12vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.54+2.26vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.12+0.14vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.75-2.77vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.10-6.03vs Predicted
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15Duke University-1.79-0.70vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-2.24vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.83-6.10vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland-1.84-3.71vs Predicted
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19Penn State Behrend-2.61-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.32University of South Carolina1.1816.5%1st Place
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5.72North Carolina State University0.7710.9%1st Place
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4.92Eckerd College0.9014.4%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University0.6611.5%1st Place
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6.61Christopher Newport University0.598.2%1st Place
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7.84University of Texas0.195.8%1st Place
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6.21Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.6%1st Place
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10.12University of Virginia-0.723.0%1st Place
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14.14University of Georgia-1.760.4%1st Place
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11.12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.1%1st Place
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13.26Embry-Riddle University-1.541.1%1st Place
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12.14University of North Texas-1.122.4%1st Place
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10.23The Citadel-0.753.6%1st Place
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7.97North Carolina State University-0.105.0%1st Place
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14.3Duke University-1.791.1%1st Place
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13.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.671.2%1st Place
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10.9Clemson University-0.832.7%1st Place
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14.29University of Maryland-1.840.9%1st Place
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16.37Penn State Behrend-2.610.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 16.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 11.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 6.5% |
| Jamie Weston | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Finch | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jane Minchew | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.