Race 2A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Logan Mraz 42.8% 29.2% 17.0% 7.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Burns 29.3% 31.3% 19.8% 12.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 5.7% 6.8% 12.8% 14.5% 14.4% 14.0% 12.7% 9.7% 6.8% 2.5%
Oscar Gilroy 4.8% 6.2% 9.2% 12.2% 13.1% 14.6% 14.5% 12.9% 8.8% 4.0%
Austin Latimer 5.1% 7.3% 12.6% 14.7% 15.0% 13.3% 11.8% 10.8% 7.0% 2.5%
Griffin Jones 3.9% 5.9% 8.2% 12.1% 13.5% 12.8% 15.0% 12.8% 10.9% 5.0%
Andrew Martin 2.1% 3.3% 5.7% 7.2% 9.8% 11.5% 12.0% 14.0% 21.6% 13.0%
Benjamin Koly 2.6% 5.1% 7.0% 9.1% 11.8% 14.1% 14.2% 15.6% 14.1% 6.2%
John Tonzola 3.4% 4.0% 6.2% 8.6% 11.3% 13.1% 13.7% 15.5% 16.2% 8.1%
Julia Marich 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 3.4% 3.9% 5.4% 8.6% 14.6% 59.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.