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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.71+8.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+4.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.57+2.37vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.26+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+2.28vs Predicted
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6Boston College-0.06+5.00vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+1.97vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.99-0.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-2.79vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.34vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93-3.09vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-5.08vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-3.56vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-1.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-5.42vs Predicted
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16Tufts University-0.25-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Fordham University0.714.4%1st Place
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6.97Northeastern University1.228.0%1st Place
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5.37Yale University1.5714.5%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston1.2610.2%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island0.998.0%1st Place
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11.0Boston College-0.062.5%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont0.485.3%1st Place
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7.81University of South Florida0.995.2%1st Place
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6.21Boston University1.149.4%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.0%1st Place
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7.91George Washington University0.936.6%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.5%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.324.3%1st Place
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12.24Connecticut College-0.131.8%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.7%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University-0.252.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Foley | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Emma Wang | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 27.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Greta Traver | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.