Race 2A

richard-b-ross-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Emmett Weeks 12.1% 14.2% 14.3% 17.5% 14.4% 12.6% 6.4% 5.5% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Harding 20.4% 23.0% 17.7% 14.8% 11.3% 7.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Durant 4.6% 5.3% 4.4% 8.2% 9.2% 11.3% 13.9% 16.9% 13.5% 8.3% 3.1% 1.3%
Casey Gowrie 35.2% 25.4% 17.2% 10.9% 6.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Henderson 4.1% 4.7% 7.9% 7.5% 11.3% 13.1% 14.2% 14.0% 10.9% 7.7% 3.6% 1.0%
Pierre DuPont 9.5% 10.9% 15.3% 12.9% 14.9% 12.5% 11.1% 7.5% 3.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Karakouzian 3.7% 4.4% 6.4% 7.1% 8.8% 10.7% 13.3% 13.2% 15.3% 9.6% 6.0% 1.5%
Kristina Schneider 1.8% 2.0% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 5.8% 7.7% 11.9% 15.4% 19.4% 15.2% 9.5%
Conor Mook 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 3.0% 4.8% 7.3% 9.8% 15.9% 24.2% 29.9%
Alison Deyett 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 4.4% 7.6% 11.4% 17.6% 24.7% 21.3%
Ames Lyman 6.5% 7.0% 10.0% 12.0% 12.9% 14.1% 16.1% 10.2% 6.5% 2.5% 2.0% 0.2%
Aaron Taylor 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 2.7% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 10.6% 16.6% 21.1% 35.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.