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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.77+4.78vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.59+4.57vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.90+1.90vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.18+0.06vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.66+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.72+4.23vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.19+1.03vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.75+2.13vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.78vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.54+3.21vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-0.11vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.83-1.35vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67+1.10vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.84+0.32vs Predicted
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15University of North Texas-1.12-2.86vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.79-1.76vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.10-8.82vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.76-3.98vs Predicted
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19Penn State Behrend-2.61-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78North Carolina State University0.7710.0%1st Place
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6.57Christopher Newport University0.597.9%1st Place
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4.9Eckerd College0.9013.9%1st Place
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4.06University of South Carolina1.1819.4%1st Place
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5.84Jacksonville University0.6610.7%1st Place
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10.23University of Virginia-0.722.4%1st Place
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8.03University of Texas0.195.0%1st Place
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10.13The Citadel-0.753.3%1st Place
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6.22Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.9%1st Place
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13.21Embry-Riddle University-1.541.4%1st Place
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10.89Georgia Institute of Technology-0.733.2%1st Place
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10.65Clemson University-0.832.6%1st Place
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14.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.671.1%1st Place
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14.32University of Maryland-1.841.0%1st Place
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12.14University of North Texas-1.121.8%1st Place
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14.24Duke University-1.790.9%1st Place
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8.18North Carolina State University-0.104.6%1st Place
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14.02University of Georgia-1.761.7%1st Place
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16.5Penn State Behrend-2.610.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 19.4% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Tan Tonge | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
| Isaac Butz | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 12.1% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% |
| Will Finch | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.