← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
65.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.66+4.87vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.59+4.66vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College0.90+1.83vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina1.18+0.16vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.77+0.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas0.19+1.80vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.71vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University-0.83+3.05vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+2.01vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia-0.72+0.26vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel-0.75-0.74vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University-0.10-3.64vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.54+0.57vs Predicted
-
14University of North Texas-1.12-1.86vs Predicted
-
15University of Georgia-1.76-0.82vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-1.83vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland-1.84-2.38vs Predicted
-
18Penn State Behrend-2.61-1.09vs Predicted
-
19William and Mary-2.83-1.60vs Predicted
-
20Duke University-1.79-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.87Jacksonville University0.6610.0%1st Place
-
6.66Christopher Newport University0.597.4%1st Place
-
4.83Eckerd College0.9014.1%1st Place
-
4.16University of South Carolina1.1819.4%1st Place
-
5.85North Carolina State University0.7710.5%1st Place
-
7.8University of Texas0.195.5%1st Place
-
6.29Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.9%1st Place
-
11.05Clemson University-0.832.5%1st Place
-
11.01Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.2%1st Place
-
10.26University of Virginia-0.723.1%1st Place
-
10.26The Citadel-0.753.3%1st Place
-
8.36North Carolina State University-0.105.4%1st Place
-
13.57Embry-Riddle University-1.541.2%1st Place
-
12.14University of North Texas-1.121.7%1st Place
-
14.18University of Georgia-1.761.2%1st Place
-
14.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.670.9%1st Place
-
14.62University of Maryland-1.840.9%1st Place
-
16.91Penn State Behrend-2.610.7%1st Place
-
17.4William and Mary-2.830.4%1st Place
-
14.59Duke University-1.790.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maartje van Dam | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 19.4% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Finch | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 28.9% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 39.1% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.