Race 3A

richard-b-ross-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Casey Gowrie 33.1% 26.4% 16.5% 12.0% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 9.2% 11.1% 13.7% 14.5% 16.1% 12.0% 10.9% 6.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Tyler Durant 4.9% 4.3% 5.4% 7.5% 10.9% 10.8% 14.1% 15.3% 13.7% 9.1% 3.5% 0.5%
Colin Henderson 2.9% 7.1% 6.3% 8.2% 11.1% 12.7% 14.5% 14.8% 10.7% 7.9% 3.3% 0.5%
Timothy Harding 20.7% 20.8% 19.6% 14.6% 11.0% 7.0% 3.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Karakouzian 3.3% 4.5% 5.4% 7.9% 7.5% 10.0% 12.8% 15.4% 15.0% 10.0% 6.8% 1.4%
Conor Mook 1.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 4.9% 5.3% 10.0% 16.9% 22.4% 30.1%
Kristina Schneider 1.1% 1.6% 4.2% 3.4% 4.9% 6.7% 8.3% 11.1% 15.4% 17.2% 17.4% 8.7%
Alison Deyett 1.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 4.3% 5.2% 8.4% 12.7% 17.8% 23.0% 21.6%
Ames Lyman 7.2% 9.0% 8.9% 12.2% 13.2% 14.7% 13.5% 10.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Aaron Taylor 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 2.9% 3.0% 5.5% 8.8% 15.9% 22.1% 36.7%
Emmett Weeks 13.8% 12.6% 16.7% 15.4% 13.0% 12.9% 7.6% 4.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.