Race 4A

richard-b-ross-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Timothy Harding 20.5% 20.8% 18.8% 16.2% 10.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Colin Henderson 4.0% 5.2% 6.2% 9.1% 10.6% 12.5% 13.5% 14.5% 12.3% 8.7% 2.8% 0.6%
Tyler Durant 5.0% 4.1% 6.5% 7.2% 8.4% 12.0% 14.1% 16.7% 12.2% 9.0% 3.9% 0.9%
Casey Gowrie 33.4% 27.2% 17.9% 10.4% 6.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 12.7% 14.5% 17.5% 14.9% 12.2% 11.7% 8.7% 3.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 9.6% 12.1% 11.2% 13.9% 15.0% 14.6% 11.3% 7.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Conor Mook 1.3% 0.9% 0.9% 2.7% 1.8% 2.6% 4.9% 5.8% 10.7% 14.0% 24.8% 29.6%
Kristina Schneider 1.6% 1.5% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 5.2% 7.7% 11.8% 15.6% 18.8% 16.8% 7.9%
Zachary Karakouzian 2.9% 3.5% 5.4% 6.9% 9.9% 12.9% 13.2% 16.1% 13.7% 10.4% 4.1% 1.0%
Aaron Taylor 0.4% 0.4% 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.1% 3.7% 5.3% 9.5% 15.3% 22.5% 34.2%
Alison Deyett 1.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 4.4% 8.1% 10.0% 18.2% 23.6% 25.4%
Ames Lyman 7.3% 8.9% 8.7% 10.7% 15.3% 15.1% 12.7% 7.9% 8.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.