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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+3.22vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.90+2.88vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.77+2.79vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.59+2.57vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.83+5.80vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.19+1.11vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.72+2.15vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.66-3.14vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.10-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-1.12+1.20vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.75-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67+1.19vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73-3.13vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.84-0.21vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.79-1.40vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.54-3.45vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.76-3.67vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-2.83-1.54vs Predicted
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20Penn State Behrend-2.61-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of South Carolina1.1817.0%1st Place
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4.88Eckerd College0.9014.3%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University0.7710.8%1st Place
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6.57Christopher Newport University0.597.0%1st Place
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10.8Clemson University-0.832.8%1st Place
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6.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.6%1st Place
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8.11University of Texas0.195.8%1st Place
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10.15University of Virginia-0.722.8%1st Place
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5.86Jacksonville University0.6611.2%1st Place
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8.2North Carolina State University-0.105.3%1st Place
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12.2University of North Texas-1.122.0%1st Place
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10.28The Citadel-0.753.7%1st Place
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14.19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.670.8%1st Place
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10.87Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.7%1st Place
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14.79University of Maryland-1.840.8%1st Place
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14.6Duke University-1.790.9%1st Place
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13.55Embry-Riddle University-1.541.9%1st Place
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14.33University of Georgia-1.761.2%1st Place
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17.46William and Mary-2.830.3%1st Place
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16.83Penn State Behrend-2.610.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 17.0% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 7.2% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 6.4% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 37.1% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.