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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.77+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.18+2.21vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.59+3.62vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.66+1.72vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.72+5.29vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.19+1.08vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.67vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.54+4.57vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+1.17vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.10-2.84vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.83-1.12vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.12-0.80vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.76+0.47vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.75-4.70vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-1.70vs Predicted
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17Penn State Behrend-2.61-0.17vs Predicted
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18Duke University-1.79-3.58vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland-1.84-4.37vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-2.83-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68North Carolina State University0.7710.7%1st Place
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4.21University of South Carolina1.1817.6%1st Place
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6.62Christopher Newport University0.598.4%1st Place
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5.72Jacksonville University0.6611.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Virginia-0.723.2%1st Place
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4.81Eckerd College0.9014.5%1st Place
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8.08University of Texas0.194.8%1st Place
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6.33Florida Institute of Technology-0.2910.0%1st Place
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13.57Embry-Riddle University-1.541.4%1st Place
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11.17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.5%1st Place
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8.16North Carolina State University-0.104.7%1st Place
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10.88Clemson University-0.833.2%1st Place
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12.2University of North Texas-1.121.3%1st Place
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14.47University of Georgia-1.761.0%1st Place
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10.3The Citadel-0.752.9%1st Place
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14.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.670.8%1st Place
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16.83Penn State Behrend-2.610.5%1st Place
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14.42Duke University-1.790.8%1st Place
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14.63University of Maryland-1.840.5%1st Place
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17.33William and Mary-2.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 17.6% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Finch | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.1% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 30.0% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 6.2% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.