Race 5A

richard-b-ross-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Casey Gowrie 32.9% 26.6% 17.5% 11.6% 6.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Weeks 12.5% 13.4% 15.4% 16.4% 15.3% 11.8% 8.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Mook 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.9% 4.7% 6.5% 9.5% 15.0% 23.8% 31.2%
Tyler Durant 3.1% 4.5% 4.3% 9.1% 10.7% 10.9% 14.7% 16.0% 13.3% 8.0% 4.4% 1.0%
Zachary Karakouzian 3.6% 3.5% 5.5% 6.4% 9.7% 10.4% 14.0% 14.5% 14.6% 10.0% 6.0% 1.8%
Timothy Harding 21.0% 20.9% 18.3% 16.6% 10.5% 6.9% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Henderson 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 8.4% 9.7% 12.9% 14.3% 14.3% 12.0% 6.4% 3.6% 1.0%
Pierre DuPont 10.9% 12.5% 13.4% 12.5% 12.9% 14.3% 10.2% 7.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Ames Lyman 6.3% 8.1% 13.0% 11.0% 13.6% 16.0% 12.4% 10.0% 6.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Kristina Schneider 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 3.4% 6.1% 8.2% 12.1% 17.5% 18.1% 14.9% 9.3%
Alison Deyett 1.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.4% 2.7% 3.4% 5.0% 6.9% 11.3% 21.6% 22.4% 22.1%
Aaron Taylor 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 3.2% 1.9% 3.5% 5.2% 9.5% 16.0% 23.6% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.