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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.66+4.63vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.77+3.62vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.10+5.03vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.18+0.16vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.75+5.19vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.76+6.82vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.59-1.47vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-1.70+3.50vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-4.63vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.83-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.12-1.13vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.54-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-1.29vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.84-1.83vs Predicted
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17Penn State Behrend-2.61-0.75vs Predicted
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18Duke University-1.79-4.13vs Predicted
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19University of Texas0.13-11.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Jacksonville University0.6610.3%1st Place
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5.62North Carolina State University0.7711.1%1st Place
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8.03North Carolina State University-0.105.1%1st Place
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4.16University of South Carolina1.1818.7%1st Place
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10.19The Citadel-0.753.1%1st Place
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4.75Eckerd College0.9014.4%1st Place
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13.82University of Georgia-1.761.4%1st Place
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6.53Christopher Newport University0.598.5%1st Place
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10.71Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Virginia-1.701.4%1st Place
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6.37Florida Institute of Technology-0.297.8%1st Place
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10.61Clemson University-0.832.7%1st Place
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11.87University of North Texas-1.122.2%1st Place
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13.04Embry-Riddle University-1.541.1%1st Place
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13.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.671.1%1st Place
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14.17University of Maryland-1.840.9%1st Place
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16.25Penn State Behrend-2.610.7%1st Place
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13.87Duke University-1.790.9%1st Place
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7.18University of Texas0.136.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maartje van Dam | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 18.7% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.4% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 9.7% |
| Luke Hayes | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Braeton Oliver | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jamie Weston | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 39.5% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 10.5% |
| Reilly Linn | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.