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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.68+0.80vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.14+0.26vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.04+0.41vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.27-1.84vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.36-2.10vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.10-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of South Florida2.680.5%1st Place
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2.26Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
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3.41Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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3.16Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.47Florida State University-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Degen | 46.9% | 31.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 30.6% | 31.3% | 23.4% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Anna Palmer | 9.7% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 36.1% | 15.4% | 2.3% |
| Ian Nora | 10.7% | 17.9% | 30.1% | 28.3% | 11.7% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 13.1% | 45.1% | 31.3% |
| Kathryn Schneider | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 6.8% | 24.1% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.