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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.18+3.26vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.77+3.59vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.66+2.77vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.90+0.84vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+1.25vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.75+3.96vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.13+0.19vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+2.72vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.54+4.07vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.59-3.68vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.83-0.45vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.12-0.21vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.10-5.02vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-1.70-0.14vs Predicted
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15Duke University-1.79-0.99vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.84-1.86vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-3.33vs Predicted
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18Penn State Behrend-2.61-1.74vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.76-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of South Carolina1.1817.4%1st Place
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5.59North Carolina State University0.7710.9%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University0.6611.1%1st Place
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4.84Eckerd College0.9013.1%1st Place
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6.25Florida Institute of Technology-0.2910.1%1st Place
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9.96The Citadel-0.753.4%1st Place
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7.19University of Texas0.136.7%1st Place
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10.72Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.5%1st Place
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13.07Embry-Riddle University-1.541.5%1st Place
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6.32Christopher Newport University0.598.3%1st Place
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10.55Clemson University-0.831.9%1st Place
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11.79University of North Texas-1.122.1%1st Place
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7.98North Carolina State University-0.105.5%1st Place
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13.86University of Virginia-1.700.7%1st Place
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14.01Duke University-1.791.2%1st Place
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14.14University of Maryland-1.840.9%1st Place
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13.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.671.1%1st Place
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16.26Penn State Behrend-2.610.4%1st Place
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13.79University of Georgia-1.761.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 17.4% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Reilly Linn | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% |
| Luke Hayes | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jamie Weston | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Will Finch | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braeton Oliver | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% |
| Jane Minchew | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 10.9% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.9% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 40.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.