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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.68+0.80vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.14+0.24vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.27-0.87vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.04-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Florida-0.36-2.10vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.10-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of South Florida2.680.5%1st Place
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2.24Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
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3.13Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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3.45Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.47Florida State University-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Degen | 46.7% | 32.3% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 30.8% | 31.5% | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Ian Nora | 12.6% | 16.9% | 28.5% | 30.0% | 10.8% | 1.2% |
| Anna Palmer | 7.9% | 13.8% | 23.7% | 36.9% | 15.3% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 45.8% | 31.1% |
| Kathryn Schneider | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 6.5% | 24.3% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.