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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.68+0.81vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.14+0.23vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.27+0.16vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.04-0.54vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-1.10-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.36-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81University of South Florida2.680.5%1st Place
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2.23Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
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3.16Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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3.46Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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5.46Florida State University-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Degen | 46.4% | 32.6% | 15.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Seth Barrows | 31.2% | 31.5% | 23.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Ian Nora | 12.4% | 16.7% | 28.6% | 29.3% | 11.2% | 1.8% |
| Anna Palmer | 7.8% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 37.3% | 15.4% | 2.7% |
| Kathryn Schneider | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 21.4% | 66.7% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 47.7% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.