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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.77+4.57vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.66+3.70vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+3.19vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.18+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.13+2.11vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+4.79vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.75+3.01vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.54+4.98vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.10-0.90vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.59-3.47vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.90-6.18vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.83-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-1.70+0.61vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-0.26vs Predicted
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15University of North Texas-1.12-3.11vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.79-1.89vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-1.84-2.92vs Predicted
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18Penn State Behrend-2.61-1.79vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.76-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57North Carolina State University0.7710.0%1st Place
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5.7Jacksonville University0.669.8%1st Place
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6.19Florida Institute of Technology-0.299.7%1st Place
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4.23University of South Carolina1.1817.8%1st Place
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7.11University of Texas0.137.9%1st Place
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10.79Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.4%1st Place
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10.01The Citadel-0.754.0%1st Place
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12.98Embry-Riddle University-1.541.3%1st Place
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8.1North Carolina State University-0.105.0%1st Place
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6.53Christopher Newport University0.597.5%1st Place
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4.82Eckerd College0.9014.2%1st Place
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10.64Clemson University-0.832.3%1st Place
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13.61University of Virginia-1.701.2%1st Place
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13.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.671.1%1st Place
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11.89University of North Texas-1.121.8%1st Place
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14.11Duke University-1.791.1%1st Place
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14.08University of Maryland-1.840.9%1st Place
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16.21Penn State Behrend-2.610.4%1st Place
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13.67University of Georgia-1.761.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 17.8% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Will Finch | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hayes | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Braeton Oliver | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Jane Minchew | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 39.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.