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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.77+4.89vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+4.53vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.13+4.41vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.66+1.97vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+6.34vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.18-2.69vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.10+0.35vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.83+2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.06-2.01vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.59-4.16vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.75-1.43vs Predicted
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13Duke University-1.79+1.54vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.76+0.30vs Predicted
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15University of North Texas-1.12-2.49vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-1.42vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.54-3.12vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland-1.84-3.26vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-2.83-1.57vs Predicted
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20Penn State Behrend-2.61-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89North Carolina State University0.779.6%1st Place
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6.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.3%1st Place
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7.41University of Texas0.136.8%1st Place
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5.97Jacksonville University0.669.8%1st Place
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11.34Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.1%1st Place
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5.04Eckerd College0.9014.1%1st Place
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4.31University of South Carolina1.1817.5%1st Place
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8.35North Carolina State University-0.105.0%1st Place
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11.01Clemson University-0.831.9%1st Place
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7.99University of Virginia0.066.6%1st Place
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6.84Christopher Newport University0.597.8%1st Place
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10.57The Citadel-0.753.5%1st Place
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14.54Duke University-1.790.8%1st Place
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14.3University of Georgia-1.760.8%1st Place
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12.51University of North Texas-1.121.9%1st Place
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14.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.670.7%1st Place
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13.88Embry-Riddle University-1.541.5%1st Place
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14.74University of Maryland-1.840.9%1st Place
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17.43William and Mary-2.830.2%1st Place
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16.78Penn State Behrend-2.610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Sullivan | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hayes | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 6.3% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 7.4% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 39.6% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 20.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.