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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.14+1.30vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.04+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.68-1.27vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-1.10+1.44vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.27-1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.36-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Eckerd College2.140.3%1st Place
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3.39Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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1.73University of South Florida2.680.5%1st Place
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5.44Florida State University-1.100.0%1st Place
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3.27Rollins College1.270.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Barrows | 26.0% | 36.0% | 23.3% | 12.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Anna Palmer | 9.8% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 15.8% | 2.7% |
| AJ Degen | 52.5% | 27.9% | 14.9% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kathryn Schneider | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 23.8% | 64.1% |
| Ian Nora | 9.6% | 16.5% | 28.3% | 31.2% | 12.0% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.7% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 45.8% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.