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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.77+4.94vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+4.50vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.66+2.90vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.59+3.00vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.54+8.44vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.90-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.18-2.60vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.10+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.13-1.30vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.73+1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.06-3.20vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.12+0.50vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.75-2.43vs Predicted
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14Duke University-1.79+0.65vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.67-0.85vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-1.84-1.24vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.83-5.87vs Predicted
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18Penn State Behrend-2.61-1.01vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-1.76-4.48vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-2.83-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94North Carolina State University0.779.5%1st Place
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6.5Florida Institute of Technology-0.298.6%1st Place
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5.9Jacksonville University0.6611.3%1st Place
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7.0Christopher Newport University0.596.8%1st Place
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13.44Embry-Riddle University-1.541.6%1st Place
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4.94Eckerd College0.9015.6%1st Place
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4.4University of South Carolina1.1816.9%1st Place
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8.43North Carolina State University-0.105.2%1st Place
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7.7University of Texas0.136.5%1st Place
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11.27Georgia Institute of Technology-0.732.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Virginia0.065.9%1st Place
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12.5University of North Texas-1.121.1%1st Place
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10.57The Citadel-0.753.0%1st Place
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14.65Duke University-1.790.7%1st Place
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14.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.670.9%1st Place
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14.76University of Maryland-1.840.5%1st Place
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11.13Clemson University-0.832.5%1st Place
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16.99Penn State Behrend-2.610.2%1st Place
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14.52University of Georgia-1.760.8%1st Place
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17.4William and Mary-2.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 16.9% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reilly Linn | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Sullivan | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.1% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.1% | 29.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.