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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+3.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.29vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61-0.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66+0.56vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.34-2.14vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42-0.82vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.67-2.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.18vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.76-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Tufts University1.1813.8%1st Place
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5.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.6%1st Place
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5.57Salve Regina University0.468.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island1.6121.1%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University0.667.1%1st Place
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3.86Brown University1.3417.3%1st Place
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6.18Fairfield University0.426.2%1st Place
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5.46Bates College0.679.0%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.8%1st Place
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8.48Fordham University-0.761.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 13.8% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Miles Williams | 21.1% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Grant Adam | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 9.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| Lauren Miller | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.