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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+5.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+4.18vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+5.77vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+4.09vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.99+2.91vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College-0.13+6.14vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+1.85vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+1.42vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99-1.70vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.26-3.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-4.10vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.57-6.68vs Predicted
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13Boston College-0.06-2.01vs Predicted
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14Tufts University-0.25-2.37vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.71-5.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Northeastern University1.228.2%1st Place
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6.18Boston University1.1411.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.0%1st Place
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8.09George Washington University0.935.8%1st Place
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7.91University of South Florida0.996.8%1st Place
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12.14Connecticut College-0.131.6%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont0.485.5%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.324.5%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island0.997.2%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston1.2610.9%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.6%1st Place
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5.32Yale University1.5711.7%1st Place
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10.99Boston College-0.062.8%1st Place
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11.63Tufts University-0.252.5%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University0.713.9%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 28.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Wang | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Foley | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.6% |
| Greta Traver | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 20.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.