← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Miles Williams 21.6% 18.6% 15.2% 13.9% 11.2% 8.3% 5.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Tyler Egeli 9.0% 9.7% 10.4% 10.8% 12.4% 12.2% 11.9% 9.9% 10.2% 3.5%
Emil Tullberg 7.2% 8.2% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 12.4% 12.8% 12.0% 12.6% 7.0%
Meredith Broadus 8.5% 9.8% 9.6% 10.3% 11.2% 12.8% 11.2% 12.2% 9.7% 4.7%
Ted Lutton 8.2% 9.8% 10.7% 10.6% 11.3% 10.3% 12.6% 11.9% 9.8% 4.8%
Adrien Bellanger 13.9% 14.0% 12.8% 12.8% 12.3% 10.1% 9.9% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5%
Grant Adam 17.8% 16.7% 15.8% 13.3% 10.8% 8.8% 8.2% 4.6% 3.5% 0.6%
Nolan Cooper 6.9% 5.7% 8.0% 8.9% 10.7% 10.0% 10.8% 13.9% 15.8% 9.5%
Lauren Miller 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 2.7% 4.3% 4.9% 5.3% 9.3% 13.6% 53.2%
Andy Leshaw 5.1% 5.3% 5.8% 7.2% 7.0% 10.2% 11.8% 13.8% 18.9% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.