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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+4.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.18+2.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61-0.55vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.15vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.02+0.81vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46-1.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.23vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.34-5.27vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.76-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Fairfield University0.426.0%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University1.1816.0%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University0.669.7%1st Place
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3.45University of Rhode Island1.6120.2%1st Place
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5.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.3%1st Place
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6.81Bates College0.024.8%1st Place
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5.46Salve Regina University0.468.1%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.034.3%1st Place
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3.73Brown University1.3420.1%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University-0.762.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nolan Cooper | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 7.6% |
Adrien Bellanger | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
Meredith Broadus | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
Miles Williams | 20.2% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Tyler Egeli | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
Jack Valentino | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 16.9% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
Andy Leshaw | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
Grant Adam | 20.1% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Lauren Miller | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.