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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+5.17vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+3.14vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+0.52vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.72+3.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20-1.07vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.28-0.09vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24+2.59vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49-4.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.90-4.36vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland2.18-4.00vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.46-0.40vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.24-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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3.52Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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7.19William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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3.93Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.91Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.59Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.3George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.64U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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10.6St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.59Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 19.1% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 28.2% | 10.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 17.4% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 56.4% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 23.1% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 3.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 18.5% | 75.8% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 56.4% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.