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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+3.22vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.02+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+0.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34-0.24vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.66+0.37vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.42-0.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.40vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-3.52vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.76-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Tufts University1.1814.9%1st Place
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6.77Bates College0.024.3%1st Place
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3.42University of Rhode Island1.6121.6%1st Place
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3.76Brown University1.3418.9%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University0.668.8%1st Place
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5.99Fairfield University0.426.9%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.2%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.1%1st Place
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5.48Salve Regina University0.468.7%1st Place
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8.29Fordham University-0.761.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrien Bellanger | 14.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
Jack Valentino | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 15.1% |
Miles Williams | 21.6% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Grant Adam | 18.9% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Meredith Broadus | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
Nolan Cooper | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 7.5% |
Tyler Egeli | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
Andy Leshaw | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 14.2% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
Lauren Miller | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.