Race 2A

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sean Golden 19.7% 19.4% 16.4% 15.6% 11.6% 8.9% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 3.9% 3.4% 4.3% 5.2% 8.3% 9.5% 10.5% 15.4% 28.8% 9.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 6.2% 6.0% 8.0% 6.9% 9.2% 13.4% 14.8% 16.3% 15.2% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 19.4% 19.4% 16.7% 14.6% 12.2% 8.8% 5.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 18.3% 14.8% 14.5% 13.3% 12.8% 9.7% 8.6% 5.1% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 5.3% 7.1% 7.4% 8.8% 8.2% 11.2% 14.8% 15.7% 15.9% 5.3% 0.3% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.5% 8.3% 58.8% 20.6% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 8.9% 10.3% 10.3% 13.3% 12.3% 12.0% 13.0% 11.5% 7.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 11.3% 12.2% 11.9% 13.3% 13.6% 11.0% 11.8% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 1.1% 1.3% 3.0% 16.3% 77.3% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 3.5% 8.3% 58.8% 20.6% 0.0%
Austin Powers 6.3% 6.2% 9.3% 8.2% 9.7% 13.6% 13.4% 16.5% 13.1% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.