Race 3A

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Prucnal 4.2% 5.9% 6.3% 9.0% 9.4% 12.1% 17.2% 16.9% 15.3% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 5.8% 7.1% 8.5% 8.4% 10.3% 12.7% 14.4% 16.7% 13.3% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Sean Golden 19.1% 19.0% 15.4% 14.7% 13.0% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 2.8% 4.3% 4.6% 5.4% 5.5% 9.3% 10.8% 17.4% 29.8% 9.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 10.1% 8.2% 11.1% 11.0% 13.9% 12.0% 12.7% 10.6% 8.2% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 17.0% 14.7% 15.4% 15.5% 11.2% 10.2% 7.2% 6.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 12.6% 13.1% 13.3% 15.0% 11.6% 12.8% 10.4% 5.7% 4.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 1.5% 1.1% 2.4% 4.1% 7.6% 58.2% 22.9% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 21.2% 19.6% 16.8% 12.9% 11.4% 9.1% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 6.7% 6.7% 7.9% 7.5% 12.1% 11.0% 14.3% 15.3% 14.2% 4.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 1.4% 2.8% 18.5% 75.6% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 1.5% 1.1% 2.4% 4.1% 7.6% 58.2% 22.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.