← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.61+2.39vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.08vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.34+0.78vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.18+0.14vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University0.42+1.02vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.61vs Predicted
-
7Bates College0.02-0.10vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.46-2.57vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.66-3.64vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University-0.76-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39University of Rhode Island1.6120.8%1st Place
-
5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.8%1st Place
-
3.78Brown University1.3417.3%1st Place
-
4.14Tufts University1.1815.8%1st Place
-
6.02Fairfield University0.426.7%1st Place
-
6.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.4%1st Place
-
6.9Bates College0.024.8%1st Place
-
5.43Salve Regina University0.469.2%1st Place
-
5.36Tufts University0.668.0%1st Place
-
8.28Fordham University-0.762.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miles Williams | 20.8% | 20.6% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Tyler Egeli | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
Grant Adam | 17.3% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Adrien Bellanger | 15.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Nolan Cooper | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 8.6% |
Andy Leshaw | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% |
Jack Valentino | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
Emil Tullberg | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
Meredith Broadus | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
Lauren Miller | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.