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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.20+3.01vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+1.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland2.18+2.31vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47-1.58vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24+3.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.90-2.60vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.21-2.10vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.28-3.03vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.72-3.05vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.46-0.42vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.24-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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3.4George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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3.42Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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9.73Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.9Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.97Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.95William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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10.58St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.73Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel LOCHNER | 13.9% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 20.9% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 21.6% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 57.0% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 25.8% | 9.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 20.0% | 73.8% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 57.0% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.