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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+2.78vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.00vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61-0.65vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.42+1.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18-1.82vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46-1.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.32vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.02-2.16vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.76-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Brown University1.3417.1%1st Place
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5.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7210.0%1st Place
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5.27Tufts University0.6610.4%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.6121.2%1st Place
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6.11Fairfield University0.426.7%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University1.1814.8%1st Place
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5.51Salve Regina University0.468.0%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.034.5%1st Place
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6.84Bates College0.025.3%1st Place
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8.28Fordham University-0.761.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grant Adam | 17.1% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Tyler Egeli | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
Meredith Broadus | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
Miles Williams | 21.2% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Nolan Cooper | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
Adrien Bellanger | 14.8% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
Andy Leshaw | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 13.5% |
Jack Valentino | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 17.8% |
Lauren Miller | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.