Race 5A

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sean Golden 18.5% 19.7% 15.7% 14.9% 13.5% 10.0% 4.3% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 21.8% 18.9% 16.4% 13.7% 11.7% 8.3% 5.8% 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 7.6% 58.1% 24.4% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 4.7% 5.5% 6.6% 8.3% 8.1% 11.4% 18.0% 16.7% 16.3% 4.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 8.5% 9.7% 9.2% 13.1% 11.7% 14.4% 10.3% 12.6% 8.5% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 4.9% 6.5% 7.5% 8.1% 10.6% 11.7% 14.0% 16.9% 16.7% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 17.5% 16.4% 15.3% 14.2% 13.2% 9.5% 6.6% 4.3% 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 6.9% 6.4% 8.8% 9.8% 10.8% 12.6% 14.7% 13.6% 14.1% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 3.6% 3.7% 5.2% 5.1% 6.0% 8.4% 13.0% 17.9% 26.8% 8.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 12.6% 12.4% 14.5% 12.1% 13.1% 11.7% 10.6% 9.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 7.6% 58.1% 24.4% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 2.9% 20.2% 73.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.