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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+2.45vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.72+5.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.30vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.18+1.05vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.24+3.74vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.47-3.68vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.28-2.22vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21-2.84vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.90-5.49vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.46-0.42vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.24-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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7.06William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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5.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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4.05Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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9.74Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.32Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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5.78Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.16Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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10.58St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.74Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 19.4% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 26.7% | 9.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 14.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 57.1% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 23.2% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 3.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 19.5% | 74.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 57.1% | 24.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.