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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+2.47vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+1.40vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.28+3.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.73vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+0.18vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland2.18-1.04vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.72-1.07vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.24+0.69vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University2.21-4.05vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.46-0.38vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.24-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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3.4Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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6.06Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.73U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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4.01Old Dominion University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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6.93William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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9.69Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.95Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.62St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.69Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 18.6% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 23.0% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 15.1% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 27.3% | 8.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 59.3% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 4.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 18.1% | 76.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 59.3% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.