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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+2.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+2.03vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+3.31vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.66+1.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.43vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.67-0.50vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.34-3.01vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-3.25vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of Rhode Island1.6121.3%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University1.5116.4%1st Place
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6.31Fairfield University0.425.3%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University0.668.0%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.8%1st Place
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5.5Bates College0.678.3%1st Place
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3.99Brown University1.3416.2%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.034.4%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University0.468.5%1st Place
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7.74University of New Hampshire-0.002.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miles Williams | 21.3% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Connor Rosow | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
Nolan Cooper | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.9% |
Meredith Broadus | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
Tyler Egeli | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
Ted Lutton | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% |
Grant Adam | 16.2% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Andy Leshaw | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 20.3% |
Emil Tullberg | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
James Sullivan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.