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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.82vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.72+5.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+0.92vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.90+1.00vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21+1.32vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.28+0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland2.18-0.80vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24+1.74vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49-5.24vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.20-5.81vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-1.26vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.46-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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7.25William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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6.32Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.19Hampton University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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9.74Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.76George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.19Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.74Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.62St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 27.8% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 28.6% | 10.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 14.8% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 58.6% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 16.0% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 14.3% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 58.6% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 19.6% | 75.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.