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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.61+1.77vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+2.44vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42+2.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51-0.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.66-0.34vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.34-3.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46-2.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.04vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.9%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island1.6119.2%1st Place
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5.44Bates College0.679.8%1st Place
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6.29Fairfield University0.425.3%1st Place
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4.13Tufts University1.5115.2%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University0.667.6%1st Place
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3.94Brown University1.3419.4%1st Place
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5.81Salve Regina University0.467.7%1st Place
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6.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.9%1st Place
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7.66University of New Hampshire-0.003.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Egeli | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
Miles Williams | 19.2% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Ted Lutton | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
Nolan Cooper | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.0% |
Connor Rosow | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
Meredith Broadus | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
Grant Adam | 19.4% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
Emil Tullberg | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% |
Andy Leshaw | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 20.6% |
James Sullivan | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.