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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+5.84vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.26+4.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.19vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.99+4.11vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+2.83vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.60vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.71+2.57vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-1.92vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College-0.13+3.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-2.78vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-1.43vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.57-6.71vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-4.09vs Predicted
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14Tufts University-0.25-2.23vs Predicted
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15Boston College-0.06-4.03vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Northeastern University1.229.2%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston1.2611.3%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.2%1st Place
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8.11University of South Florida0.996.2%1st Place
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7.83George Washington University0.936.8%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.8%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University0.714.0%1st Place
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6.08Boston University1.1410.2%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College-0.132.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Rhode Island0.998.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.324.2%1st Place
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5.29Yale University1.5713.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont0.485.6%1st Place
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11.77Tufts University-0.251.7%1st Place
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10.97Boston College-0.062.8%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Wang | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 27.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Odell | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Greta Traver | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 24.3% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.