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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+4.49vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+1.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61-1.42vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46-0.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.66-1.36vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.09vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42-2.65vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Bates College0.679.0%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.727.3%1st Place
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4.08Tufts University1.5116.7%1st Place
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4.01Brown University1.3416.0%1st Place
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3.58University of Rhode Island1.6120.8%1st Place
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5.77Salve Regina University0.467.1%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University0.669.0%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.1%1st Place
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6.35Fairfield University0.425.8%1st Place
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7.75University of New Hampshire-0.003.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ted Lutton | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
Tyler Egeli | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
Connor Rosow | 16.7% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Grant Adam | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
Miles Williams | 20.8% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Emil Tullberg | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
Meredith Broadus | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% |
Andy Leshaw | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
Nolan Cooper | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.5% |
James Sullivan | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.