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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+1.85vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+1.75vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.24+6.77vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49-0.14vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.28+1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland2.18+0.39vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21-0.81vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.72-0.85vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.20-4.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.90-5.19vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.46-0.40vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.24-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.3%1st Place
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3.75Georgetown University3.470.2%1st Place
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9.77Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.86George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.24Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Maryland2.180.0%1st Place
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6.19Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.15William and Mary1.720.0%1st Place
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4.39Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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10.6St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.77Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Sims | 26.8% | 23.5% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 17.6% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 7.1% | 58.7% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 16.0% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 4.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 31.1% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 21.3% | 73.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 7.1% | 58.7% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.