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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+4.83vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+0.71vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.67+1.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.34-1.05vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.66-0.49vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.42-0.61vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.01vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-5.02vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Salve Regina University0.468.1%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.0%1st Place
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3.71University of Rhode Island1.6119.7%1st Place
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5.43Bates College0.678.6%1st Place
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3.95Brown University1.3416.5%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University0.668.9%1st Place
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6.39Fairfield University0.425.8%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.034.1%1st Place
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3.98Tufts University1.5116.1%1st Place
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7.8University of New Hampshire-0.003.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emil Tullberg | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% |
Tyler Egeli | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
Miles Williams | 19.7% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Ted Lutton | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
Grant Adam | 16.5% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Meredith Broadus | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
Nolan Cooper | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 13.6% |
Andy Leshaw | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 21.6% |
Connor Rosow | 16.1% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
James Sullivan | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.