Race 10A

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Fletcher Sims 26.8% 23.6% 19.8% 13.4% 9.5% 4.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 17.4% 17.9% 14.0% 15.8% 13.6% 9.3% 7.6% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Golden 15.2% 14.1% 18.0% 15.0% 13.4% 11.7% 7.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Powers 3.4% 5.2% 5.0% 8.2% 7.4% 12.1% 17.3% 17.6% 19.2% 4.4% 0.2% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 3.2% 3.2% 9.2% 55.5% 24.3% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.8% 5.3% 7.6% 7.9% 9.2% 12.7% 14.2% 18.2% 15.6% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 5.1% 5.6% 6.5% 6.5% 12.1% 12.1% 13.1% 18.1% 16.1% 4.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 3.4% 3.1% 3.4% 5.0% 7.9% 10.3% 12.4% 17.1% 27.2% 9.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 8.9% 10.0% 11.8% 12.4% 12.1% 14.8% 13.2% 10.0% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 14.0% 14.7% 13.0% 15.1% 13.4% 11.4% 9.6% 6.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 3.2% 3.2% 9.2% 55.5% 24.3% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 1.2% 2.7% 20.3% 74.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.