Race 11A

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Brendan Shanahan 19.8% 19.2% 16.3% 15.4% 12.6% 8.1% 6.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Youngberg 12.0% 12.6% 12.2% 12.3% 14.4% 12.3% 11.2% 8.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 3.0% 8.1% 57.1% 25.1% 0.0%
Sean Golden 20.0% 17.1% 16.2% 16.1% 13.0% 7.5% 6.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Galster 9.9% 9.5% 9.0% 11.9% 11.4% 12.5% 12.1% 13.1% 8.1% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Powers 5.1% 6.9% 8.7% 7.0% 9.1% 12.2% 14.7% 16.6% 16.1% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 7.2% 7.4% 8.0% 9.5% 9.0% 13.7% 13.9% 15.5% 12.6% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 10.1% 10.3% 10.8% 13.8% 15.7% 17.4% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Daniel LOCHNER 15.3% 15.4% 16.7% 12.4% 10.9% 11.5% 8.8% 5.9% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 3.7% 4.5% 5.6% 4.5% 7.7% 9.8% 11.4% 17.1% 26.2% 9.0% 0.5% 0.0%
George Uehling 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 3.0% 8.1% 57.1% 25.1% 0.0%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 2.4% 21.1% 73.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.