← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.61+2.72vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.29vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.42+3.33vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.51+0.07vs Predicted
-
5Bates College0.67+0.57vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.66-0.32vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.34-3.04vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University0.46-2.27vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.03vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.72University of Rhode Island1.6118.9%1st Place
-
5.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.8%1st Place
-
6.33Fairfield University0.427.3%1st Place
-
4.07Tufts University1.5116.2%1st Place
-
5.57Bates College0.678.1%1st Place
-
5.68Tufts University0.667.2%1st Place
-
3.96Brown University1.3417.3%1st Place
-
5.73Salve Regina University0.467.8%1st Place
-
6.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.034.0%1st Place
-
7.68University of New Hampshire-0.003.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miles Williams | 18.9% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Tyler Egeli | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
Nolan Cooper | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% |
Connor Rosow | 16.2% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Ted Lutton | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
Meredith Broadus | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% |
Grant Adam | 17.3% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Emil Tullberg | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
Andy Leshaw | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 21.2% |
James Sullivan | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.