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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.91+2.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.09+3.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.79+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland1.85+1.10vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.71+0.42vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11-1.68vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.29-0.82vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.49+0.94vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-0.27-0.33vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-5.88vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.49-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Old Dominion University2.910.2%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Naval Academy2.090.1%1st Place
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2.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.3%1st Place
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4.14George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Maryland1.850.1%1st Place
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6.42Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.32Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.18William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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9.94Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.67St. John's College-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.12Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.94Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph David | 15.4% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Ferris | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 30.0% | 25.8% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 14.1% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 22.8% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 29.2% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
| MaryEllen Markuske | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 35.6% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 29.2% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.