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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.67+3.80vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+0.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.34-0.53vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+0.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.66-1.05vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.88vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Bates College0.6710.7%1st Place
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4.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7210.4%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University1.5121.3%1st Place
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3.47Brown University1.3421.1%1st Place
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5.06Salve Regina University0.469.9%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University0.6611.2%1st Place
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6.92University of New Hampshire-0.002.9%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.7%1st Place
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5.53Fairfield University0.426.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Ted Lutton | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
Tyler Egeli | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
Connor Rosow | 21.3% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
Grant Adam | 21.1% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
Emil Tullberg | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.3% |
Meredith Broadus | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.3% |
James Sullivan | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 37.0% |
Andy Leshaw | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 21.4% |
Nolan Cooper | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.