Race 2B

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Chase Quinn 30.7% 24.3% 17.7% 13.5% 8.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 15.0% 15.2% 14.8% 15.5% 14.2% 9.0% 9.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 4.8% 5.8% 5.9% 6.6% 9.7% 10.5% 14.3% 15.3% 18.2% 7.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 5.3% 5.3% 7.2% 7.6% 10.2% 13.3% 15.1% 14.9% 13.9% 6.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.7% 6.8% 9.7% 10.3% 15.3% 20.7% 15.4% 3.7% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 6.3% 9.1% 10.0% 8.6% 11.3% 15.8% 13.1% 11.3% 10.0% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0%
John Andril 8.7% 9.7% 11.7% 12.6% 13.5% 12.1% 10.9% 10.6% 7.1% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2.1% 3.1% 4.2% 7.3% 26.6% 52.9% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 6.8% 7.9% 10.4% 11.5% 10.8% 12.5% 12.7% 14.3% 9.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Joseph David 18.0% 17.0% 15.9% 16.3% 12.3% 8.5% 5.7% 4.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 9.7% 34.5% 39.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2.1% 3.1% 4.2% 7.3% 26.6% 52.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.