Race 3B

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Hayes 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 7.2% 27.3% 55.3% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 7.2% 8.6% 9.7% 10.8% 13.7% 12.3% 13.7% 12.4% 8.3% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 7.8% 7.3% 8.1% 9.6% 12.0% 12.0% 16.4% 13.3% 9.7% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Joseph David 14.2% 16.5% 16.8% 15.9% 12.8% 10.4% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Chase Quinn 32.1% 25.6% 17.9% 10.4% 7.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 2.6% 4.3% 4.5% 5.8% 6.7% 8.3% 10.2% 16.0% 22.9% 14.8% 3.9% 0.0%
John Andril 8.9% 9.2% 9.9% 13.2% 14.5% 12.1% 12.2% 10.4% 6.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 5.3% 6.3% 6.9% 8.9% 8.5% 12.8% 12.7% 15.3% 16.0% 6.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 5.5% 5.7% 8.0% 8.2% 10.9% 12.7% 12.5% 14.0% 15.5% 5.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 15.2% 15.4% 16.7% 14.3% 11.2% 11.5% 8.4% 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 1.9% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 5.7% 9.3% 35.6% 37.8% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 7.2% 27.3% 55.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.