Race 4B

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nevin Snow 41.7% 27.3% 18.8% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 22.8% 24.6% 19.1% 14.0% 11.1% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 4.4% 5.6% 7.4% 10.1% 10.0% 14.6% 15.8% 16.2% 11.4% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 7.8% 10.6% 11.6% 17.6% 17.1% 13.0% 12.1% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 5.4% 7.4% 8.6% 12.6% 14.1% 24.4% 14.6% 4.5% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 2.9% 4.1% 7.7% 7.3% 11.0% 12.9% 13.7% 17.6% 14.1% 7.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 3.6% 8.5% 27.2% 50.9% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 3.7% 3.4% 4.5% 9.0% 10.1% 14.0% 13.1% 16.7% 16.3% 7.9% 1.3% 0.0%
Joseph David 9.0% 13.4% 16.9% 14.9% 15.6% 11.6% 10.5% 4.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.5% 7.0% 9.1% 10.0% 11.9% 14.3% 14.3% 14.8% 10.3% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 3.0% 5.3% 9.3% 34.2% 40.8% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 3.6% 8.5% 27.2% 50.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.