Race 5B

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nevin Snow 42.8% 26.9% 17.7% 8.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 2.5% 2.2% 3.6% 5.1% 6.6% 7.6% 12.5% 16.0% 24.5% 15.4% 4.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 19.3% 23.6% 21.1% 16.5% 10.2% 5.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 7.9% 10.3% 14.2% 14.1% 17.1% 15.1% 10.2% 7.0% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 5.3% 5.6% 7.3% 10.9% 11.4% 14.4% 15.5% 14.2% 11.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.6% 6.6% 26.9% 54.5% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 2.3% 4.5% 11.1% 35.1% 38.3% 0.0%
Joseph David 10.8% 13.6% 16.4% 15.9% 14.8% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.3% 6.5% 7.1% 9.6% 11.3% 15.9% 15.4% 14.4% 10.8% 4.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 3.5% 5.4% 6.2% 8.2% 12.2% 11.0% 14.6% 16.9% 15.2% 5.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 3.0% 4.6% 4.8% 8.8% 10.2% 12.7% 14.8% 16.9% 15.4% 7.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.6% 6.6% 26.9% 54.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.