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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nevin Snow 41.2% 28.3% 17.2% 8.3% 4.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 2.6% 2.0% 3.6% 5.0% 7.3% 8.6% 12.6% 15.3% 22.8% 17.1% 3.1% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 8.2% 9.8% 13.2% 16.4% 16.1% 15.5% 10.9% 5.2% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 2.8% 4.7% 6.0% 7.6% 9.5% 12.5% 16.4% 19.0% 12.8% 7.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.9% 5.9% 7.4% 10.2% 14.3% 14.2% 14.9% 13.1% 10.8% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 2.1% 3.9% 6.8% 7.3% 8.4% 12.9% 14.2% 17.0% 17.3% 8.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 4.9% 8.3% 26.5% 51.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 22.5% 26.9% 20.1% 13.5% 8.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph David 10.1% 11.2% 16.4% 18.7% 13.9% 11.6% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 4.8% 6.3% 7.7% 10.3% 13.8% 15.0% 13.8% 13.5% 10.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 2.0% 2.4% 3.8% 5.4% 10.2% 32.6% 41.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 4.9% 8.3% 26.5% 51.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.