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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+1.09vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+5.46vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.79+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland1.85+2.53vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.11+0.86vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.71+0.73vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.49+2.86vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-5.12vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.91-4.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.09-4.17vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-0.27-1.28vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.49-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Georgetown University4.360.4%1st Place
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7.46William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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4.68George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Maryland1.850.0%1st Place
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5.86Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.73Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.86Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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2.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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4.35Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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9.72St. John's College-0.270.0%1st Place
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9.86Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 41.2% | 28.3% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 26.5% | 51.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 22.5% | 26.9% | 20.1% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 10.1% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Ferris | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| MaryEllen Markuske | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 32.6% | 41.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 26.5% | 51.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.