Race 7B

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nevin Snow 43.7% 28.2% 16.1% 7.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 9.5% 11.0% 15.6% 16.1% 16.7% 12.7% 9.2% 5.6% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Chase Quinn 18.5% 23.2% 21.2% 15.6% 11.3% 6.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 4.4% 5.6% 6.8% 10.1% 10.0% 16.3% 16.1% 14.7% 10.7% 4.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 4.0% 5.3% 5.8% 8.6% 11.0% 13.3% 12.8% 17.2% 15.4% 5.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.0% 6.6% 8.1% 10.5% 12.2% 14.3% 16.2% 13.0% 9.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 4.4% 8.4% 27.6% 50.1% 0.0%
Lee Dumaliang 9.1% 12.4% 14.4% 16.4% 14.5% 12.3% 10.7% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 2.3% 2.6% 4.5% 4.1% 7.4% 7.8% 11.5% 16.1% 23.9% 15.1% 4.7% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 3.6% 4.3% 6.0% 8.0% 9.9% 12.2% 14.8% 16.1% 16.4% 7.5% 1.2% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.6% 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 3.5% 5.2% 9.1% 34.9% 40.7% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 4.4% 8.4% 27.6% 50.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.