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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+7.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+4.87vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+4.20vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.57+1.29vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26+1.17vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+0.79vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.66vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-1.74vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.71+0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston College-0.06+1.13vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.99-2.95vs Predicted
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12Tufts University-0.25-0.20vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-4.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-5.34vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0George Washington University0.936.3%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.6%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island0.997.5%1st Place
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5.29Yale University1.5713.9%1st Place
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6.17College of Charleston1.2610.2%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University1.229.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.5%1st Place
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6.26Boston University1.1410.4%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University0.713.6%1st Place
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11.13Boston College-0.062.6%1st Place
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8.05University of South Florida0.996.0%1st Place
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11.8Tufts University-0.252.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont0.484.9%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.324.2%1st Place
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11.97Connecticut College-0.132.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Emma Wang | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 16.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Greta Traver | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 22.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Caroline Odell | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.