Race 8B

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nevin Snow 43.9% 26.2% 18.3% 6.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 2.6% 4.3% 7.8% 25.7% 54.6% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 4.9% 6.6% 5.9% 8.7% 12.9% 13.0% 16.3% 14.6% 12.1% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Chase Quinn 18.1% 24.4% 21.2% 16.1% 10.1% 5.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 9.9% 12.2% 15.3% 13.8% 14.7% 14.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 7.5% 10.3% 13.0% 14.2% 16.7% 18.4% 5.8% 2.2% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 5.7% 6.1% 7.4% 12.7% 13.4% 14.4% 15.4% 12.2% 8.9% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Lee Dumaliang 8.2% 12.4% 15.6% 17.4% 14.1% 12.6% 8.8% 7.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 3.7% 4.4% 5.6% 8.9% 11.8% 12.0% 14.6% 16.5% 13.8% 7.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.8% 2.8% 4.4% 5.5% 7.0% 9.4% 11.8% 15.6% 24.4% 13.7% 3.6% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.9% 3.3% 5.4% 8.2% 38.3% 37.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.8% 2.6% 4.3% 7.8% 25.7% 54.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.