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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.11+4.94vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+0.03vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.79+1.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.86vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.91-0.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.09-0.12vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.55-0.20vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.49+1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland1.85-2.60vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.29-2.65vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-0.27-1.31vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.49-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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2.03Georgetown University4.360.4%1st Place
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4.58George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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3.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.2%1st Place
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4.23Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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6.8Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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9.97Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Maryland1.850.0%1st Place
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7.35William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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9.69St. John's College-0.270.0%1st Place
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9.97Virginia Tech-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 44.4% | 27.5% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 18.9% | 22.1% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 9.7% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Ferris | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 28.1% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Greenfield | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 22.3% | 14.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| MaryEllen Markuske | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 34.3% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Hayes | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 28.1% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.