Race 10B

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nevin Snow 43.8% 26.8% 16.9% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 8.8% 11.5% 15.0% 18.2% 14.1% 12.9% 10.9% 6.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Chase Quinn 17.3% 23.8% 20.1% 15.6% 11.7% 7.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 6.3% 27.2% 54.9% 0.0%
Joseph David 11.0% 13.2% 15.0% 16.8% 14.8% 12.9% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 3.8% 6.5% 8.8% 8.9% 13.0% 15.4% 15.4% 12.8% 10.9% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 4.5% 4.7% 6.1% 8.2% 11.4% 14.3% 15.8% 17.7% 11.4% 4.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 5.3% 5.7% 8.6% 10.6% 14.3% 13.3% 14.0% 12.8% 12.6% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Annie Eckmann 2.8% 4.3% 3.7% 6.2% 8.3% 10.0% 15.1% 16.8% 19.3% 11.1% 2.4% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 1.7% 3.1% 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 8.9% 11.5% 16.6% 25.4% 12.4% 3.9% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 3.5% 6.4% 9.5% 36.9% 37.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 6.3% 27.2% 54.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.