Race 11B

south-1-dinghy-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nevin Snow 42.7% 28.7% 16.7% 7.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 2.7% 5.0% 7.9% 25.1% 54.6% 0.0%
Joseph David 9.5% 11.1% 16.0% 16.6% 15.2% 13.5% 11.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel DelBello 7.7% 11.4% 14.3% 16.1% 16.0% 12.7% 10.8% 7.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Chase Quinn 21.2% 23.6% 19.5% 16.2% 10.3% 5.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Annie Eckmann 2.0% 3.6% 4.9% 6.4% 8.7% 10.4% 13.0% 18.2% 21.0% 9.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 5.7% 5.6% 8.3% 10.4% 13.6% 14.4% 15.8% 13.3% 9.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.8% 6.7% 8.3% 11.7% 13.8% 14.5% 13.2% 13.7% 9.8% 3.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 2.0% 3.2% 3.3% 4.1% 6.7% 9.5% 12.1% 15.5% 24.3% 15.5% 3.8% 0.0%
Matt Greenfield 3.5% 5.5% 7.4% 8.9% 10.5% 13.7% 15.1% 15.4% 13.4% 6.0% 0.6% 0.0%
MaryEllen Markuske 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 3.3% 5.4% 9.9% 36.3% 38.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Hayes 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.5% 2.7% 5.0% 7.9% 25.1% 54.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.