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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.51+3.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.62+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.41+4.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.96-0.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01-1.43vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05-2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.35-2.21vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.45-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.29Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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3.7Connecticut College2.960.2%1st Place
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3.57Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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3.47Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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4.79University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.46Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry O'Brien | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 4.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 4.1% |
| Luke Puk | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 75.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 17.1% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 2.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 18.0% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Drew Shea | 19.4% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Ian White | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 6.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.