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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.96+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.35+2.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+0.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.51-0.50vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.62-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.41+0.33vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.45-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Connecticut College2.960.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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3.55Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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3.53Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.24Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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4.47Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bothwick | 18.2% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Ian White | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 20.8% | 6.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 20.1% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Drew Shea | 18.1% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Henry O'Brien | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 4.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 3.5% |
| Luke Puk | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 76.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.