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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.96+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.51+2.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+0.50vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.35-0.26vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.45-1.50vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.62-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.41-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Connecticut College2.960.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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3.5Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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3.57Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.5Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.28Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bothwick | 18.3% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 1.1% |
| Henry O'Brien | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 6.1% |
| Drew Shea | 19.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 17.5% | 20.3% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 1.2% |
| Ian White | 8.9% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 5.5% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 4.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 4.1% |
| Luke Puk | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.