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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.35+2.80vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.96+0.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05-0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.51-0.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.45-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.41+0.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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3.65Connecticut College2.960.2%1st Place
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3.52Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.54Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
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4.15Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 18.5% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Ian White | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 21.4% | 6.3% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 18.6% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 1.7% |
| Drew Shea | 18.4% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 0.9% |
| Henry O'Brien | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 4.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 5.4% |
| Luke Puk | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 76.6% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 13.5% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.