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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+2.45vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.96+1.66vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+0.50vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.62+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.51-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.35-1.31vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.45-2.40vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.41-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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3.66Connecticut College2.960.2%1st Place
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3.5Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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4.29Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Kincaid | 19.3% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 16.6% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Drew Shea | 19.8% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 3.4% |
| Henry O'Brien | 10.2% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 4.0% |
| Ian White | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 5.7% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 5.3% |
| Luke Puk | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.