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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+6.15vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+5.14vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.99+3.61vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05-0.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+0.93vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.17+3.65vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79-0.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy2.05-1.42vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03-2.19vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.40-2.20vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.66-2.20vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.89-3.93vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.32-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Yale University2.7312.2%1st Place
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8.15Roger Williams University2.425.5%1st Place
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8.14Connecticut College1.955.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University1.996.9%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University3.0517.6%1st Place
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6.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University1.172.5%1st Place
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7.52Boston University1.796.5%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Military Academy2.055.3%1st Place
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7.81Bowdoin College2.035.9%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.404.0%1st Place
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9.8Washington College1.663.4%1st Place
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9.07Fordham University1.894.0%1st Place
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12.28Salve Regina University1.321.6%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island2.7812.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.6% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 17.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| James Paul | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 44.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.