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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.96+2.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+1.51vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.35+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.51-0.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.45-1.47vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.62-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.41-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Connecticut College2.960.2%1st Place
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3.51Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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3.58Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.53Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.28Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bothwick | 18.3% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
| Drew Shea | 18.4% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 18.8% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Ian White | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 7.1% |
| Henry O'Brien | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 4.5% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 4.7% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 3.6% |
| Luke Puk | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 75.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.