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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.14+5.37vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.71+7.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.57+2.37vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.93+4.16vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26+1.21vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+0.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College-0.06+4.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-2.10vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.99-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-3.21vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.30vs Predicted
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14Tufts University-0.25-2.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-5.61vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Boston University1.149.7%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University0.714.2%1st Place
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5.37Yale University1.5713.4%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University0.936.1%1st Place
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6.21College of Charleston1.269.7%1st Place
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6.91Northeastern University1.229.0%1st Place
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11.03Boston College-0.063.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.8%1st Place
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6.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.818.3%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island0.998.1%1st Place
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7.96University of South Florida0.996.5%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont0.485.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.7%1st Place
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11.65Tufts University-0.251.9%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.323.4%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College-0.132.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Kate Joslin | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Emma Wang | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Greta Traver | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 21.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.