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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.51+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.35+2.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+1.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.620.00vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05-1.75vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73-0.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-3.62vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.72-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.29Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.0Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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5.51Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.38Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry O'Brien | 12.8% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% |
| Ian White | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Eric Anderson | 13.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 5.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 13.4% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Drew Shea | 21.8% | 21.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 24.7% | 18.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 21.5% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Marisa DeCollibus | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 17.7% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.