← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.05+2.21vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.45+2.32vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.51+1.19vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.62+0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island0.72+2.02vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.73-0.49vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.35-2.48vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.01-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
-
4.32Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
-
4.19University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.04Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
-
7.02University of Rhode Island0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.51Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.52University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
-
3.2Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Shea | 21.0% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 4.4% |
| Henry O'Brien | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 3.9% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 14.2% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Marisa DeCollibus | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 15.7% | 62.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 25.8% | 17.4% |
| Ian White | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 6.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 21.9% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.