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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.40+7.72vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+5.53vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+5.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.97vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+0.56vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.17+4.46vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+2.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy2.05-0.48vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.66+0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78-4.27vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.32+1.49vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-7.60vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-5.30vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-5.98vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.99-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Brown University2.403.9%1st Place
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7.53Boston University1.796.5%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University2.425.8%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
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5.56Yale University2.7311.7%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.172.9%1st Place
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9.09Fordham University1.894.5%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Military Academy2.057.6%1st Place
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9.81Washington College1.663.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island2.789.8%1st Place
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12.49Salve Regina University1.321.0%1st Place
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4.4Harvard University3.0518.1%1st Place
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7.7Bowdoin College2.036.6%1st Place
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8.02Connecticut College1.955.5%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University1.996.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Jack Egan | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 16.4% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| James Paul | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 10.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 44.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 18.1% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.