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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.62+2.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.51+1.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.35-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.72+0.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73-1.36vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.45-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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3.23Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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3.33Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island0.720.0%1st Place
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5.64Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.2Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 13.8% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 2.9% |
| Drew Shea | 22.4% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Henry O'Brien | 12.5% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 20.9% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Ian White | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 5.9% |
| Marisa DeCollibus | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 59.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 24.4% | 21.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.