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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.50vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+2.48vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+5.21vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+3.85vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+0.74vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.76vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.99-0.37vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.66+0.99vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.89-0.80vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.95-2.88vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.32+0.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.17-2.67vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.40-5.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Yale University2.7310.7%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University3.0516.4%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University2.424.9%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.036.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Rhode Island2.7811.8%1st Place
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7.33Boston University1.797.2%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Military Academy2.056.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University1.996.0%1st Place
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9.99Washington College1.663.8%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University1.893.5%1st Place
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8.12Connecticut College1.955.7%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University1.321.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.172.6%1st Place
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8.63Brown University2.404.7%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.319.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.4% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| James Paul | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 45.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 14.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.