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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.35+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.51+2.20vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+1.30vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.62+0.03vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05-1.74vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01-2.72vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.72-0.01vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.73-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44University of Rhode Island2.350.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Vermont2.510.1%1st Place
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4.3Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.03Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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3.26Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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3.28Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island0.720.0%1st Place
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5.49Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian White | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 5.2% |
| Henry O'Brien | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 4.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 13.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 5.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 13.9% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 3.0% |
| Drew Shea | 20.3% | 23.2% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 21.3% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Marisa DeCollibus | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 63.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 25.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.