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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+4.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+6.02vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.95+5.07vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.88vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+0.55vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.99+0.57vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.66+1.78vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.32+3.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.38vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.40-2.16vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-7.57vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-5.17vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.89-4.73vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.17-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66University of Rhode Island2.7811.5%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University2.426.7%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College1.955.2%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.318.2%1st Place
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5.55Yale University2.7312.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston University1.795.2%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University1.997.1%1st Place
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9.78Washington College1.663.4%1st Place
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12.48Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Military Academy2.056.5%1st Place
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8.84Brown University2.404.1%1st Place
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4.43Harvard University3.0517.6%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.035.1%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University1.893.2%1st Place
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10.68Northeastern University1.172.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 45.4% |
| James Paul | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 17.6% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 6.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.